Subject: Re: Statistics for Nasdaq 100 monthly Momentum Screen
I suspect as you found, that any time rule you come up with will whipsaw you in some (even long) periods, and others delay too late in other (also even long, or perhaps just randomly useful) periods.
I have long been suspicious of the timing discussions on this board for that reason. How to really prove statistical "truths"? If you miss one crash you feel victorious but is the timing rule really valid if you do?
I don't know.
Almost no one has the stomach to keep going after horrible crashes and multi-year recovery periods.
But I remember what it was like to practice law, so have despite the pain, since it beats going to work.
Will timing help?
If only I could go back to high school and ask Mary Lou out....