Subject: Re: Bear Catchers
Said wrote 'I see much more value in this (Click on 'Timeline'): https://edition.cnn.com/market...

There's a 6 year backtest here:
Sentiment Data Backtest Statistics: CNN Fear & Greed Index
https://w3data.io/megapro/sent...

The best total return was 88% for the 6 Years 2016/3 to 2022/3 (Buy at FGI first Fear Signal, Sell at FGI first Very Greed Signal). This was worse than B&H or BCC timing. (Over these 6 years, SPY total return was 136%. SPY with BCC0 timing total return was 130%.) I will continue using BCC0 timing.

Timing methods benefit from long backtests that capture various economic and market conditions. FGI is only available since 2010. BCC can be tested back to 1930. Novell's SPY-COMP has been backtested to 1970: https://allocatesmartly.com/pa...

links...
SPY-COMP On AllocateSmartly, April 25, 2020
https://investingforaliving.us...

Fear The Greed And Fear Index, July 15, 2016
'The CNN Greed and Fear Index is not a useful investment tool. Going back to mid-2010, a strategy to buy-and-hold the S&P 500 would have returned 95%. A sell-on-greed strategy would have returned only 50%- or less. During a bull market in equities, as with precious metals, it pays to stay invested.'
https://seekingalpha.com/artic...

Fear & Greed Index: What It Is & How It Works, May 19, 2022
'While the Fear and Greed Index can be a useful tool, it shouldn't be used in isolation. Instead, it is most useful when used to confirm other key indicators or readings.'
https://seekingalpha.com/artic...