Subject: Re: The Problem With Polymarket

the prospect of another 2 terms of trump as president is an existential threat, but so is the damage he can do in another single term.
the big difference is the former is a low probability event we can not worry too much about, while the latter is high probability, near certainty.
(take as an example the small chance of undoing the scotus damage, which has an amplified impact throughout democracy)


this is not the same as saying :
- we know by which path damage will be done. trump's agenda is ad hoc based on his own assessment of personal benefit at the time he actually takes any action.
- trump could certainly try to structure plans to stay in office longer; every strategy that involves minimal risk to his OWN personal resources and freedom is always on the table.