Subject: ModernFamily EOM Jun-2025
Name SP500 R1000EW R1000 R2000 Transportation Retail Regional Bank BioTech SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) SPY EQAL IWB IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 30-Jun-25 30-Jun-25 30-Jun-25 30-Jun-25 30-Jun-25 30-Jun-25 30-Jun-25 30-Jun-25 30-Jun-25
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish BEARish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 07-May-25 14-May-25 07-May-25 14-May-25 14-May-25 08-May-25 08-May-25 16-Jun-25 08-May-25
Since_ChgD 54 47 54 47 47 53 53 14 53
Confirmed Yes Yes Yes Yes Not Yet Yes Not Yet Not Yet Yes
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(50-DMA) 2.7% 0.1% 2.8% 0.1% -1.1% 5.6% -1.1% -7.0% 8.3%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Resistance Resistance Support Resistance Resistance Support
ROC(200-DMA) 12.5% 8.5% 12.7% 6.6% 2.4% 2.3% 20.6% -1.6% 6.3%
DMAC(50,200) -0.1% -2.0% -0.1% -5.1% -4.4% -2.4% -4.3% -7.7% 0.0%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 617.94 49.24 339.57 215.82 68.54 77.06 59.60 126.51 278.88
50-DMA 581.24 47.45 319.31 204.70 64.83 74.03 56.73 123.69 240.01
200-DMA 581.72 48.44 319.71 215.72 67.83 75.82 59.28 133.96 239.96
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 2 2 2 3 7 4 2 5 6
# BuyD /Yr 219 199 218 181 171 202 203 137 190
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 33 53 34 71 81 50 49 115 62
% BuyD /Yr 87% 79% 87% 72% 68% 80% 81% 54% 75%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 496.48 41.38 272.36 174.82 55.22 62.11 47.13 112.02 179.95
52wH(Daily) 617.94 51.95 339.57 242.40 75.40 84.31 68.90 149.47 281.27
% Off_52wH NH 5.5% NH 12.3% 10.0% 9.4% 15.6% 18.1% 0.9%
LastD_52wH 30-Jun-25 29-Nov-24 30-Jun-25 25-Nov-24 25-Nov-24 11-Dec-24 25-Nov-24 19-Sep-24 10-Jul-24
SinceD_52wH 0 213 0 217 217 201 217 284 355
CountD_52wH 31 22 33 9 5 6 11 7 1
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
The "Economic Modern Family" is a combination of three market index ETF's and five varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases - Rev 27-Sep-2024 Intermediate-Term 50-DMA and/or 200-DMA.
"BEARish" - phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
"Bullish" - phase when NOT "BEARish".
"Support" - is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
"Resistance" - is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
"Confirmed" - when Status_MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal_Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
Criteria that Refute - Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description - After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
Source of Data - Price data for Symbols in Modern Family are exported from real time charts to .CSV files after market close.
FYI: Historic - Ten year average 52wH/Yr count for .SPx, MDY, & IJH was 34, 20 & 16 as of 27-Sep-2024.
--- ---
GD_