Subject: Re: War, currencies and jurisdictions
maybe history can offer some perspective regarding the U.S. evolving dynamic of several distinct periods and political motivations.

Don't miss the two full invasions.
1775-1776, including taking Montreal and the failed siege of Quebec City.
1812, full invasion and major battles on several fronts.

One thing seems consistent, then and now: the notion that those in the frozen north, or at least some large segment of them, will welcome the invasion and assist the Americans in their conquest.


This leads to my firmly held belief that the strong bilateral relationship have led to a reality where the idea of the U.S. taking over Canada is no longer a serious political or military objective…regardless of the today’s political rhetoric.

This is still a commonly held view, that nothing has changed, or at least not permanently. I agree that it seems certain that there will likely still be lots of commerce across the 49th one way or another. But in the same vein, it is absolutely certain that some changes are truly permanent. There will never again be the same level of trust, that's gone for good. The Canadians are usually too tactful to say it, and the Americans usually too prideful to believe it, but to the typical Canadian in this era, the US is perhaps still a great place to make a buck, but otherwise odious. Few Canadians have a positive view of China (~30%), but it's more than have a positive view of the US (26%).

It's not just a marital spat. We *all* have to recognize that the US is now a country that is a declared adversary of Canada and Europe, no longer an ally of "the west". Not just the annexation agenda, but also for example voting with Russia and North Korea and against those erstwhile allies, and pushing hard for Russian success in their wars of conquest. There are probably lots of folks in the US who are not happy with this situation, fair enough, but so what? At some point they have to just recognize it rather than denying it. They aren't in charge, and may never be, so it may just be the way things are now. It is far from certain that the US will have an election in 2028, as opposed to an "election". Peaceful transfer of power in a free and fair election may no longer be achievable. And even if things go swimmingly and a calmly rational person is in charge at some future date, the trust is gone. No sane jurisdiction will trust any US promise or treaty for the next century. This is a much bigger change in the structure of the world than the fall of the Soviet Union, and there is no putting the toothpaste back in the tube. The world has truly moved on because of changes in the USA, and oddly it seems to be the residents that are the least cognizant of it.

Jim