Subject: Re: Guess Who Actually Stole Disaster Funds
It looks like the projected course is the worst case you wrote about before. Counterclockwise circulation will drive the surge into Tampa.

Right now, the center of the course is aiming just to the south of Tampa Bay - which is bad, but doesn't have the worst of the storm surge going into the bay. The right-hand side of the storm is where the winds blow onshore.

But we're talking only a few dozen miles here, well within the margin of error of a forecast a day out. It's amazing how accurate their path forecasting has become, but it's not good enough to predict within less than 60-70 mile range this far out.

So fingers-crossed, and ask the FSM to keep it from coming in at the worse case.