Subject: Re: vance replacement probability
vance wondering if walz is harris' final choice for vp is ironic, and tells me he really doesnt understand many important aspects of trump.

it is beyond naive for vance and pundits to think that at a certain desperation level (which i assign fairly low), trump would not hesitate to ditch vance if he thought it could make any net swing.
you think trump is worried about sunk cost in 'vance VP' election spend? the name of any VP on printed ballots? give me a break.
assigning loyalists is something for after winning, and useless if a prior negative.

trump is a person that NEVER took responsibility of dozens of of key roles he hired, and then subsequently fired, in a matter of days to months. if trump has supreme confidence in anything, it is his ability to scapegoat and deflect what are clearly singular decision points.
and since MAGA is only about trump, they will applaud it.

the only thing that may save vance is the uncertainty that trump's other options would poll him back to neutral.