Subject: Re: Brk and valuation, another opinion,
Can you show your assumptions on the 5 grove analysis?
Sure, here goes:
Assumptions:
15x multiple of earnings
21% tax rate
30% of float ($45Bn) held as reserve (Berkshire say $30Bn)
Q3 numbers. Earnings are last 4 quarters.
Non-Insurance Operating Businesses Earnings Value 22.13 x 15 = 332
Equity Investments less Taxes 272
Partially Owned Businesses Earnings Value 1.91 x 15 = 28.7
Cash & Fixed Income Available for Investment 105 + 18.6 - 45 = 79
5 Groves Total Value $711Bn
A Share Equivalents 1466045
5 Groves Total Value per A Share $485k
5 Groves Total Value per B Share $323
If I use $30Bn reserve and 17x multiple it spits out $352/b