Subject: Re: Shrodinger’s Strait
...especially since we're using other levers to try to force Europe to buy less Russian oil and gas.

???

I agree with everything else you wrote. But I question this. The US has been very tepid against Russia. First, the MAGA congress of 2022-24, and now this administration. Europe is clamoring to arm Ukraine, and deprive Russia of trade. Except for Hungary, pretty much the entire EU is on-board with reducing their demands for Russian oil and gas. Isn't their gas pipeline completely shut down (in part because they were stupid enough to attack their own pipeline in Ukraine, and in part because Europe is actively reducing their demand even as they don't have alternatives ready yet)?