Subject: Sum of the Parts
Its been a while since I did a sum of the parts.
TTM Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
Cloud 43.23 11.96 11.35 10.35 9.57
YouTube 36.14 10.47 8.92 8.66 8.09
Advertising 269.21 73.64 67.61 65.37 62.59
Other Bets 1.44 0.40 0.39 0.37 0.28
350.02 96.47 88.27 84.74 80.54
Attaching multiples to these can be tricky, but here is one take:
Valuation Multiple
Cloud 432.3 10
YouTube 289.1 8
Advertising 1346.0 5
Other Bets 7.2 5
2074.7
I don't think YouTube is "worth" $500B, but its clearly growing quickly and could be worth as much as $300B (perhaps even higher). Definitely a significant component of the overall company value. The Cloud business (which I would include AI in) is probably worth almost $500B - note: OpenAI just raised $40B at a valuation of $300B; their revenues are around 1/3 ($12B) of Google Cloud, but are growing much faster of course.
Reminder: Google has about $100B of cash on hand.
BTW: I think Waymo is probably worth much more than $7.2B - possibly as much as $15B or higher; but its very difficult to assess this segment of their business.
For posterity
GOOG : $158 / share --> $1,920B Valuation
tecmo
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