Subject: Re: Trump is toast
<<But as Bush 41 learned, voters' sense of the economy tends to get locked in well before the election, so late changes in the economy don't help much.>>

FWIW, I actually did a rigorous econometric analysis of this topic some years ago, and the finding was the opposite. It showed that voters had fairly short memories and that most of the impact came from real income growth in the year preceding the election.