Subject: Re: OT: Typical flip
For obvious reasons, a ground attack against Iran would be a significant challenge
To say the least. For the Gulf War we used Saudi Arabia, and to a lesser extent UAE and Kuwait to stage supplies, bases, and personnel in the hundreds of thousands. At the moment Saudi Arabia and UAE are denying us use of our airbases in their countries to attack Iran (even by air), and Kuwait is denying that we are using Kuwaiti bases (because they don’t want to be on the wrong side of Iran either.)
So before you plan a ground invasion you have to have somewhere to invade from - like England during World War II or the Japanese islands in the Pacific which we fought for with increasing casualties the closer we got.
There is no way to invade short of putting hundreds of thousands of troops in harms way (Desert Storm involved almost 700,000) and we’re just not gonna do it. Trump won’t do it because he’s all hat, no cattle. Congress won’t do it because they would be running for their lives. The military would advise against it because it’s hopeless, but they would do it if ordered because that’s what they do, unfortunately.
No, we are not going to “attack.” You are right, Trump is groping for a way out, and there isn’t one except surrender, so he has to figure out a way to surrender while calling it a great victory, in which he will be aided by his accomplices in the right-wing media.
This is a loss, straight up. Bibi has tried to convince every President since ever to do it, only Trump was stupid enough to say yes.