Subject: Re: Jobless Claims Spike
If we do slip into recession, the Fed will almost certainly cut interest rates.
This is not clear. It is more likely it would look a bit like the "stagflation" of the "70's. Analysts are predicting that the combination of conservative fiscal policy, immigration reduction, and tariffs could easily lead to recession coupled with inflation.

There is still a lot of rope between the current situation and stagflation. I hope Trump listens to his economic advisors and avoids this scenario.
Alan