Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (25) |
Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 21937 
Subject: Re: o/t, but it has been discussed here
Date: 08/17/25 3:27 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 17
or a high quality stock fund
...
I'm not sure if such a thing exists. Precious few stock funds have ever outperformed the S&P500 over the long-term.


Probably a good general rule of thumb.

However it's possible that a fund with a bit of a sanity filter, or tilt towards actual value (not to be confused with the "value" factor as sold which is often just slow growth), might not be such a terrible thing. The performance you want to consider is from shortly before a bubble peaks till a year after the bear that follows. Things that are painfully overvalued don't rebound all the way back. A fund that merely underweights those things wouldn't be so bad.

Berkshire is interesting in that it has a history of not only bouncing all the way back to the prior level, but also bouncing all the way back to the prior trend. It participates heavily in one of my favourite aphorisms: you make most of your money during a bear market, you just don't realize it at the time.

A scary observation that might come in handy at some point in the next few years: if there is a bear market or a real melt down, there will be a bottom. It will probably be pointy: sharp final drop, sharp rebound. After some short period of time, the bottom in retrospect will seem pretty certain: everything is bouncing like a bungee. At that point, the stuff you want to own for a few months is the worst possible crap, the stuff that sold off the worst during the melt down, often deserving it. Think: meme stocks. The stuff that you would normally want to short. Defensives during the slide, speculatives for a couple/few months after the bottom, then prudent stuff.

Jim
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to mungofitch here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (25) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community