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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
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Author: OrmontUS ✭✹  😊 😞
Number: of 4581 
Subject: Re: Control Panel: Tweaking Inflation Stats
Date: 10/04/26 10:27 AM
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While the specifics of politics are forbidden here, how would you structure an expected value matrix based on possible challenges to the November elections, coupled to different outcomes to the war against Iran shortly afterwards (ranging from extreme military action to declaring victory and leaving based on our “forcing” Iran to give up on a nuclear arms program? There is a huge investing difference between doing so with uncertainty vs. quantitative risk.

Jeff
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This community has written 4,571 posts about Macroeconomic Trends & Risks. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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From the Oregon Bay Area (a blogger) · 33 recs · 2025
Lerner Symmetry Theorem · 32 recs · 2025
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