No. of Recommendations: 2
Of course. Hamas expected a response - but they didn't expect their attack would be "successful" enough to prompt a full invasion.
They were ecstatic about that, along with the response of the media, the UN and their ability to win the information war.
But notice that plan doesn't depend on whether U.S. policy towards Israel is Trumpian or Bidenesque. They will make the decision to fire off that plan whether Trump is there or Biden is there, because it doesn't matter whether the President is 100% on board with Israel or not. Since they can accomplish their goals even with a maximalist Israel supporter in office, having a maximalist Israel supporter in office wouldn't stop them from pulling the trigger on the attack.
I disagree. Trump in office means less leverage for Tehran and less emboldening of its proxies. Hamas waited 2 and a half years to act; this was after the Abraham Accord deals started going nowhere after Biden prioritized dealing with the mullahs instead of continuing the momentum in the Middle East.
democrats always fail these things because they never understand who it is that's sitting across from them at the table. The second Tehran knew that Oba-, er, Biden wanted to deal, it sent out orders to its proxies to start trouble. Just to put pressure on American negotiators and extract concessions (that fools like Biden always grant).
As opposed to, say, executing a supersonic low pass over the Iranian naval ship that's giving the Houthi missile shooters their targeting information. You don't reason with maniacs; you let them know that the next time we decide you're up to no good the supersonic flyby won't fly by, it'll contain a live warhead and blow the ship to kingdom come.
Hamas' choices are being driven by tons of local and regional factors, and not on any potential future responses by the U.S.
Hamas played chess here, and the world's media and the progressive American left fell for it. Now it's going to take years to repair the damage.
Who the US President is matters.
