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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: zeelotes   😊 😞
Number: of 3957 
Subject: Re: What constitutes success?
Date: 04/15/2024 2:44 PM
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One further chart to illustrate how consensus scores work. I'll be showing the 2007-2009 once again. The cross from a high bullish score to bearish score occurs at ten. The date was 7/23/2007.

Bullish rose above bearish at ten on 3/2/2009.

https://www.zeelotes.org/Training/LT_Combined_Scor...

What would this look like if one acted on this?

              Close     Close     ROI     ROI   Cum ROI  Cum ROI
Date NDX RUT NDX RUT

1/1/2007 $1,756.90 $787.66
7/23/2007 $2,036.33 $835.62 15.90% 6.09% 15.90% 6.09%
3/2/2009 $1,076.67 $367.80 47.13% 55.98% 70.53% 65.48%
12/31/2009 $1,860.31 $625.39 72.78% 70.04% 194.64% 181.38%


My point is simple: It pays to study the markets because although they do not repeat, they often rhyme. There is truly nothing new under the sun. Historical precedent has a lot to say that can be helpful in avoiding major market drawdowns.
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