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Are you now, with several indicators finally bullish or close to, buying until you are fully invested?
(Pity that there is no poll*** option.)

https://discussion.fool.com/t/common-mechanical-in...

Asking because seeing things "Mechanical", one should go all in now or soon, right? But my "unmechanical" stomach always is having big problems buying stuff that gets more expensive by the day. How is it for others? Are you really now or soon heavily buying?


***Very subtle hint for Manlobbi 😉

I will admit it. I am feverishly watching several, rather mundane indicators. (I've found that complicating things doesn't help. They all have failings)

I will be forced to buy soon (otherwise, what's mechanical investing mean?)and if I have to eat a whipsaw... well, that's the joy/thrill/heartbreak/agony of non-buy-and-hold. Buy-and-hold has it's own joy, thrill, heartbreak, & agony equivalents.

But, like you I see a possible "Indian Summer" here. Normally I would just go with the main indicator but I am, as stated above, waiting to get a lot of confirmation before I start writing checks.

Following the GTAA-4 system. At the beginning of the month the top 4 asset classes in relative and absolute momentum were foreign developed large cap, FD small cap, US small cap and (believe it or not) emerging markets.

Beginning of the month I pushed 1/2 an allocation into those 4 equity classes in case it was yet another bull trap/bear rally.

As the MAs held at 1/16 recheck, I pushed the rest of my equity allocation into those 4 classes - a slight overweight in the top 2 classes. (Mostly through ETFs, but also 4-5 smaller-caps proposed by Mungo's ROE/RevGr SOS screen, which I've posted about previously).

A good month. Finally.

FC

I can't think of a more useful general dictum than "buy low, sell high". So you want to buy high, and hopefully sell much higher? I haven't figured out a way to do that. Has anybody else here figured out a way to do that? Anyone serious about buying and selling the major stock indexes is going to find that taking long positions entails the incursion of at least short-term pain--I suffer enormously when I purchase futures on the big indexes. I felt like an idiot stating a couple of weeks ago that it was time to go long. While I'm long now, I would NEVER recommend initiating a long position in the current market predicament. The time to buy the major indexes is when there is blood in the streets which is starting to clear, but not now.

"While I'm long now, I would NEVER recommend initiating a long position in the current market predicament."

My position is similar but continue with a 20/80 Equity/Cash allocation.

The "current Market predicament" is unstable.

GD_

BSD,
"While I'm long now, I would NEVER recommend initiating a long position in the current market predicament."

Didn't you say a few weeks ago your indicator was flashing a buy? Has the changed? Is that indicator only for specific vehicle or is it for portion of portfolio?

BSDe While I'm long now, I would NEVER recommend initiating a long position in the current market predicament.

Isn't that why we call this "Mechanical Investing" and not "Seat o' the Pants" investing? Systems, indicators, data based on historical correlations are supposed to override gut feelings and how things appear. If it's a false signal getting out is also built in before any real harm can get done.

The time to buy the major indexes is when there is blood in the streets which is starting to clear, but not now.

Sounds like Oliver Wendell Douglas's Paean to the American Investor. The moment hoped for can take years or even half a generation to happen. Can we live on a money market fund in the mean time? We are nowhere near blood in the streets and I don't see it anywhere out there. Thus far the market and indeed the economy have held up almost recalcitrantly through two years of inflation and incessant talk about some sort of recession just around the corner. Where is it? I see no mass layoffs. Just some laugh-filled stories about execs and some tech "laborers" getting axed.(It's about time, chumps. Bienvenidas a la mundo real) Sans unemployment that matters (and at the current 3.7% it'll be a while) there won't be any recession except on paper.

Next June's Federal debt ceiling showdown could actually cause some problems for the stock market. Like Covid. Remember that? Lasted, what about 8 weeks, then the 35% crash didn't even show up in people's budgets anymore. Oh, and it will dovetail nicely with the "Sell in May Then Go Away" season. Will anyone notice?

I really hate to sound so rosy. No, that's not a typo, hah hah, but I am beginning to think we've been had.

To save some trouble: Yes, I know there's always the potential for exogenous events to tip the boat but as someone once said "Always they will be with you." Internal affairs, Putin affairs, etc etc.

<Anyone serious about buying and selling the major stock indexes is going to find that taking long positions entails the incursion of at least short-term pain--I suffer enormously when I purchase futures on the big indexes. I felt like an idiot stating a couple of weeks ago that it was time to go long.>

So a couple of weeks ago you were thinking of selling these signals that you have such little confidence in?

Sorry, I drank a dram of whisky brought by a mischief-maker prior to writing that last comment and the post ought to have been more carefully edited. I'm using a strategy with positions that tend to last a couple of days to two weeks or maybe a month or so and thus may not be relevant to those with a longer-term perspective. When positions are entered at the signal, it is extremely rare for a loss to incur prior to the signal changing, whereas the odds of a loss steadily increase the longer one waits to enter once a signal is generated. Currently, the signal remains bullish. But in the case of the NASDAQ 100, for example, that signal generated over 1,000 points ago (1 point = $20 for each /NQ e-mini contract, incidentally). I simply don't have the intellectual candlepower to know how long the signal shall last. I suspect it is closer to the end than to the beginning, but there is no mathematical way to know. The primary idea is to 'buy low' and 'sell high' and not chase price action that manifests a cheery, increasingly expensive consensus.

It's possible to weave in and out of a mid-term signal by using similar metrics on smaller time scales, with positions lasting 8-72 hours, adding and subtracting contracts as these shorter signals change, but the principle is the same''buy low' and 'sell high' and this approach requires algorithmic orders as the signals can change extremely quickly. That signal last turned bullish on Wednesday afternoon and remains so. The prior bullish signal occurred on the previous Friday and ended abruptly on Tuesday morning (incurring some 350 points per /NQ contract, for example). If there is interest in this strategy, we can discuss it further, but it requires moment-by-moment computer surveillance after regular trading hours end, and algorithmic orders generated through a Pine Script API if one is interested in maintaining one's sanity.

So a couple of weeks ago you were thinking of selling these signals that you have such little confidence in?

Have you read Gregory Zuckerman's book on Jim Simons (The Man Who Solved The Market)? You can submit the same question incredulously to Simons, a consummate mathematician, as he was plagued with emotional discomfort even after decades of nearly surreal returns, irrationally pulling the plugs on his machines due to his emotional uneasiness on occasion. Emotional comfort and intellectual confidence are not mutually inclusive. It's emotionally difficult to bet against the heard even if a mathematical formula with an excellent supporting record indicates that's the appropriate gesture. Presumably, we're all interested in stripping the emotional baggage that often gets in the way of buying and selling assets for a profit, but it still hovers in the background of this discipline even if it's been successfully removed from decision-making.

So... "Blood in the streets" was last June.

Easy to type, hard to actually do because it goes against every part of our psychology.

And the best part is? It's only visible in hindsight. Up against the hard right edge of the chart, it's very hard to make that commitment.

Numerical definitions of "blood in the streets" with backtests are more helpful.

Have you read Gregory Zuckerman's book on Jim Simons (The Man Who Solved The Market)?

One thing Simons did (which was novel at the time according to the author) was to have his teams read many research papers and discussing them. This was in the late 1990s just when this board was starting. One of my benefits from reading this board over the last 20+ years is seeing references to research papers and the discussions about the papers.

Craig

"If there is interest in this strategy, we can discuss it further, but it requires moment-by-moment computer surveillance after regular trading hours end, and algorithmic orders generated through a Pine Script API if one is interested in maintaining one's sanity"

There's always interest in learning and discussing various strategies... it's the only way to learn what works and what ones temperament is really.

Numerical definitions of "blood in the streets" with backtests are more helpful.

I cannot meet all of your requirements but I feel remiss if I remain silent.
Blood-in-the-streets? I have read over the years from various sources (So, sorry I cannot cite one. I cannot remember who taught me to recognize the letter "A" either but someone did.) that a very high VIX number in the 40's or higher would signal that blood-in-the-streets aka capitulation moment. It has to come as a final phase of an extended market correction that has seen the usual general pattern of ups and downs and false signals all without this VIX surge. Also, a correction such as we've been having since Jan 2022 might not be severe enough to even get into this before a turnaround. The blood/streets concept really only applies to a "The bigger they are, the harder they fall" market event. That's why I say it can take a loooong-azzed time to score with this one. When people are being greedy... get greedy!, or you'll miss out on possibly years of returns. If, as now, you might be out, you could be waiting 10 more years for a true bloody streets opportunity

Back test? I can't find any site nowadays that gives me all the info I want. Bigcharts only goes back to 1978 and the VIX was only created in 1989 or something, so to get comprehensive would be a trick.

Numerical definitions of "blood in the streets" with backtests are more helpful.

Over the years of suffering with MI, I've arrived at a couple ways of thinking about whether there is blood in the streets.
First and probably most useful is when Mungofitch says so via his major bottom detector.
Second is extraordinarily lousy breadth, however you define that.

I distinctly remember watching the absolute value of Nasdaq new lows hit 1000 a couple times, and thinking, wow this is as bad as it gets.
At least for me, those were times when not only my stomach was churning, but it felt like there was no tomorrow.

As a quick example, here is a table of Nasdaq New Highs and Lows per GTR1. These are right from the timing implementation of NHNLRatio.
An arbitrary blood threshold is set here as true if: New Highs < 5 and New Lows > 800.
You could fiddle with these, as I have not. Maybe makes no sense to even have New Highs < 5 in there.
And it also doesn't make sense to have thresholds based on absolute numbers without considering the number of index components.

(note: the whole table wouldn't post, so I cut out some of the NHNLRatio>1 dates so it would work)

Daily Signal Values:                                                                           Highs<5
        Date          [BCIII]  [NHNLRatio]  field11=iflt:field0,1,0,1  [BCC]  [Highs]  [Lows]  Lows>800
      19971114           1       0.943894               0                1      51       90
      19971117           1       0.880158               0                1      69       70
      19971118           1       0.949175               0                1      113      71
      19971119           1       0.934927               0                1      81       79
      19971215           1       0.922115               0                1      102      189
      19971216           1       0.801777               0                1      128      221
      19971217           1       0.759035               0                1      139      177
      19971218           1       0.737401               0                1      141      169
      19971219           1       0.663163               0                1      95       184
      19971222           1       0.628041               0                1      83       140
      19971223           1       0.611829               0                1      119      204
      19971224           1       0.620719               0                1      131      206
      19971226           1       0.623649               0                1      92       153
      19971229           1       0.640821               0                1      91       122
      19971230           1       0.667787               0                1      153      201
      19971231           1       0.828295               0                1      245      162
      19980114           1       0.889734               0                1      57       65
      19980115           1       0.815972               0                1      65       63
      19980116           1       0.820046               0                1      63       50
      19980120           1       0.957997               0                1      101      52
      19980521           1       0.999079               0                1      62       84
      19980522           1       0.894256               0                1      53       81
      19980526           1       0.7911                 0                1      46       85
      19980527           1       0.628192               0                1      38       125
      19980528           1       0.444674               0                1      24       174
      19980529           1       0.410931               0                1      40       97
      19980601           1       0.395181               0                1      48       110
      19980602           1       0.333154               0                1      37       170
      19980603           1       0.306249               0                1      42       154
      19980604           1       0.291311               0                1      41       146
      19980605           1       0.317632               0                1      56       117
      19980608           1       0.349286               0                1      51       97
      19980609           1       0.405635               0                1      66       102
      19980610           1       0.433697               0                1      52       106
      19980611           1       0.389234               0                1      35       156
      19980612           1       0.313694               0                1      23       201
      19980615           1       0.255074               0                1      20       202
      19980616           1       0.198098               0                1      27       281
      19980617           1       0.185465               0                1      32       168
      19980618           1       0.22014                0                1      67       137
      19980619           1       0.244507               0                1      67       177
      19980622           1       0.252234               0                1      54       185
      19980623           1       0.314691               0                1      93       159
      19980624           0       0.403527               0                0      109      142
      19980625           1       0.506209               0                1      112      123
      19980626           1       0.561028               0                1      69       105
      19980629           1       0.62515                0                1      69       88
      19980630           1       0.711027               0                1      108      111
      19980701           1       0.801538               0                1      118      110
      19980702           1       0.918773               0                1      123      95
      19980706           1       0.93272                0                1      82       102
      19980707           1       0.983222               0                1      123      113
      19980708           1       0.921565               0                1      91       134
      19980709           1       0.943448               0                1      121      119
      19980710           1       0.98607                0                1      119      103
      19980713           1       0.950904               0                1      87       109
      19980714           1       0.910933               0                1      106      133
      19980715           1       0.88322                0                1      111      135
      19980716           1       0.911673               0                1      127      119
      19980717           1       0.972445               0                1      135      109
      19980720           1       1.02872                1                2      126      99
      19980721           1       1.051986               1                2      121      112
      19980722           1       0.926585               0                1      72       144
      19980723           1       0.808651               0                1      61       143
      19980724           1       0.594078               0                1      35       230
      19980727           1       0.462661               0                1      24       181
      19980728           1       0.334872               0                1      21       231
      19980729           1       0.239385               0                1      20       246
      19980730           1       0.178038               0                1      24       248
      19980731           1       0.16016                0                1      40       198
      19980803           1       0.126972               0                1      20       261
      19980804           1       0.104364               0                1      21       317
      19980805           1       0.070249               0                1       7       507
      19980806           1       0.056206               0                1       9       388
      19980807           1       0.053726               0                1      13       219
      19980810           1       0.059132               0                1      18       123
      19980811           1       0.064173               0                1      19       167
      19980812           1       0.054079               0                1       9       325
      19980813           1       0.058939               0                1      18       179
      19980814           1       0.062409               0                1      18       257
      19980817           1       0.065593               0                1      13       191
      19980818           1       0.076027               0                1      24       240
      19980819           1       0.097036               0                1      33       169
      19980820           1       0.100212               0                1      21       201
      19980821           1       0.091112               0                1      14       253
      19980824           1       0.07956                0                1      14       319
      19980825           1        0.065                 0                1       8       347
      19980826           1       0.055477               0                1      12       353
      19980827           1       0.039614               0                1       6       537
      19980828           1       0.024658               0                1       5       867
      19980831           1       0.01684                0                1       4       753
      19980901           1       0.009386               0                1       2      1362          1
      19980902           1       0.007925               0                1       5       643
      19980903           1       0.007033               0                1       3       392
      19980904           1       0.007007               0                1       6       553
      19980908           1       0.007843               0                1       7       452
      19980909           1       0.013232               0                1      17       212
      19980910           1       0.016113               0                1       9       325
      19980911           1       0.016988               0                1       6       465
      19980914           1       0.02149                0                1      10       251
      19980915           1       0.029978               0                1      15       216
      19980916           1       0.0375                 0                1      15       222
      19980917           1       0.046378               0                1      16       188
      19980918           0       0.047118               0                0       9       252
      19980921           0       0.056417               0                0      18       189
      19980922           0       0.064003               0                0      19       214
      19980923           0       0.082641               0                0      27       169
      19980924           0       0.124941               0                0      45       123
      19980925           0       0.136193               0                0      23       152
      19980928           0       0.144803               0                0      25       168
      19980929           0       0.153977               0                0      27       168
      19980930           0       0.156139               0                0      25       180
      19981001           0       0.14182                0                0      18       221
      19981002           0       0.094007               0                0       6       423
      19981005           0       0.074576               0                0       9       298
      19981006           0       0.04767                0                0       5       533
      19981007           0       0.032648               0                0       6       527
      19981008           0       0.01913                0                0       1       804          1
      19981009           0       0.010994               0                0       3      1137          1
      19981012           0       0.008101               0                0       2       460
      19981013           0       0.007957               0                0       6       272
      19981014           0       0.007284               0                0       3       340
      19981015           0       0.008223               0                0       5       282
      19981016           0       0.01233                0                0      10       162
      19981019           0       0.021537               0                0      16       151
      19981020           0       0.037643               0                0      21       131
      19981021           0       0.056562               0                0      15       86
      19981022           0       0.086091               0                0      19       90
      19981023           0       0.122792               0                0      23       77
      19981026           0       0.15689                0                0      18       63
      19981027           0       0.216268               0                0      29       69
      19981028           0       0.274677               0                0      27       59
      19981029           0       0.348764               0                0      31       45
      19981030           1       0.456369               0                1      44       51
      19981102           1       0.583674               0                1      40       31
      19981103           1       0.788143               0                1      59       33
      19981104           1       0.944242               0                1      43       29
      19981211           1       0.929401               0                1      44       79
      19981214           1       0.907883               0                1      61       74
      19981215           1       0.694373               0                1      24       127
      19981216           1       0.640182               0                1      46       89
      19981217           1       0.568717               0                1      45       105
      19981218           1       0.568509               0                1      71       101
      19981221           1       0.655598               0                1      96       80
      19981222           1       0.767074               0                1      131      114
      19981223           1       0.729448               0                1      86       147
      19981224           1       0.8285                 0                1      112      91
      19981228           1       0.963947               0                1      85       39
      19990210           1       0.921657               0                1      22       75
      19990211           1       0.72342                0                1      18       65
      19990212           1       0.663509               0                1      34       47
      19990216           1       0.537351               0                1      21       72
      19990217           1       0.439454               0                1      23       86
      19990218           1       0.306939               0                1      13       126
      19990219           1       0.272585               0                1      24       100
      19990222           1       0.252747               0                1      23       96
      19990223           1       0.294882               0                1      41       71
      19990224           1       0.352221               0                1      49       81
      19990225           1       0.371581               0                1      37       86
      19990226           1       0.357383               0                1      20       76
      19990301           1       0.390377               0                1      33       65
      19990302           1       0.451929               0                1      45       67
      19990303           1       0.463929               0                1      38       89
      19990304           1       0.428923               0                1      28       98
      19990305           1       0.452635               0                1      40       71
      19990308           1       0.500144               0                1      50       67
      19990309           1       0.561113               0                1      67       88
      19990310           1       0.576695               0                1      56       96
      19990311           1       0.622005               0                1      72       98
      19990312           1       0.682511               0                1      73       81
      19990315           1       0.677503               0                1      48       81
      19990316           1       0.672246               0                1      62       103
      19990317           1       0.620889               0                1      54       122
      19990318           1       0.563261               0                1      48       121
      19990319           1       0.575581               0                1      57       81
      19990322           1       0.529833               0                1      45       112
      19990323           1       0.495748               0                1      45       110
      19990324           1       0.377344               0                1      16       159
      19990325           1       0.313718               0                1      22       137
      19990326           1       0.324889               0                1      48       105
      19990329           1       0.329376               0                1      40       96
      19990330           1       0.402026               0                1      71       84
      19990331           1       0.410595               0                1      41       94
      19990401           1       0.398856               0                1      65       180
      19990405           1       0.413733               0                1      66       152
      19990406           1       0.455587               0                1      93       169
      19990407           1       0.474142               0                1      75       154
      19990408           1       0.467153               0                1      59       143
      19990409           1       0.476582               0                1      76       146
      19990412           1       0.522898               0                1      81       101
      19990413           1       0.592043               0                1      109      121
      19990414           1       0.686237               0                1      112      102
      19990415           1       0.694221               0                1      62       105
      19990416           1       0.693029               0                1      54       94
      19990419           1       0.715137               0                1      59       79
      19990420           1       0.713784               0                1      42       69
      19990421           1       0.704133               0                1      31       54
      19990422           1       0.757709               0                1      59       53
      19990423           1       0.839454               0                1      68       50
      19990426           1       0.975318               0                1      69       36
      19990805           1       0.976522               0                1      37       85
      19990806           1       0.791599               0                1      37       96
      19990809           1       0.703115               0                1      31       67
      19990810           1       0.615362               0                1      39       86
      19990811           1       0.51296                0                1      34       103
      19990812           1       0.517336               0                1      50       73
      19990813           1       0.529133               0                1      48       67
      19990816           1       0.660501               0                1      80       51
      19990817           1       0.762078               0                1      78       71
      19990818           1       0.919192               0                1      83       53
      19990819           1       0.90918                0                1      48       72
      19990820           1       0.893329               0                1      47       69
      19990922           0       0.937354               0                0      41       122
      19990923           0       0.837429               0                0      64       99
      19990924           0       0.67951                0                0      42       125
      19990927           0       0.583516               0                0      36       106
      19990928           0       0.557533               0                0      63       111
      19990929           0       0.491135               0                0      39       119
      19990930           0       0.434985               0                0      52       155
      19991001           0       0.428123               0                0      89       186
      19991004           0       0.412583               0                0      41       104
      19991005           0       0.45738                0                0      88       140
      19991006           0       0.490034               0                0      73       115
      19991007           0       0.592625               0                0      109      101
      19991008           0       0.651863               0                0      87       102
      19991011           0       0.712608               0                0      81       88
      19991012           0       0.852835               0                0      115      79
      19991013           0       0.82929                0                0      57       104
      19991014           0       0.724815               0                0      42       131
      19991015           0       0.654457               0                0      53       127
      19991018           0       0.508584               0                0      37       185
      19991019           0       0.404821               0                0      31       171
      19991020           0       0.340013               0                0      35       153
      19991021           0       0.340677               0                0      59       123
      19991022           0       0.304896               0                0      50       190
      19991025           0       0.348288               0                0      85       136
      19991026           0       0.352014               0                0      62       173
      19991027           0       0.3741                 0                0      67       152
      19991028           0       0.422602               0                0      78       125
      19991029           0       0.527165               0                0      111      111
      19991101           1       0.696881               0                1      142      87
      19991102           1       0.814182               0                1      112      89
      19991103           1       0.927029               0                1      113      89
      20000403           1       0.860472               0                1      72       131
      20000404           1       0.74922                0                1      44       92
      20000405           1       0.550824               0                1      20       132
      20000406           1       0.45189                0                1      20       88
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      20221006           1       0.058078               0                1      14       66
      20221007           1       0.082122               0                1      17       100
      20221010           1       0.066362               0                1       2       291
      20221011           1       0.054311               0                1       7       324
      20221012           1       0.042797               0                1       7       371
      20221013           1       0.037622               0                1       7       291
      20221014           1       0.053263               0                1      27       166
      20221017           1       0.046065               0                1      11       342
      20221018           0       0.060685               0                0      24       90
      20221019           0       0.084905               0                0      29       76
      20221020           0       0.090452               0                0      18       202
      20221021           0       0.091447               0                0      12       199
      20221024           0       0.105019               0                0      22       162
      20221025           0       0.131602               0                0      39       191
      20221026           0       0.17932                0                0      38       49
      20221027           0       0.236042               0                0      43       63
      20221028           0       0.303266               0                0      51       91
      20221031           0       0.460388               0                0      96       67
      20221101           0       0.568369               0                0      79       93
      20221102           0       0.643686               0                0      63       95
      20221103           0       0.517546               0                0      21       172
      20221104           0       0.40979                0                0      37       216
      20221107           0       0.372683               0                0      64       211
      20221108           0       0.350348               0                0      62       185
      20221109           0       0.310708               0                0      46       198
      20221110           0       0.212922               0                0      22       377
      20221111           1       0.275874               0                1      97       84
      20221114           1       0.298406               0                1      37       47
      20221115           1       0.318195               0                1      31       63
      20221116           1       0.38754                0                1      61       76
      20221117           1       0.395034               0                1      34       107
      20221118           1       0.372813               0                1      29       128
      20221121           1       0.368567               0                1      38       124
      20221122           1       0.327654               0                1      40       192
      20221123           1       0.356897               0                1      82       191
      20221125           1       0.366803               0                1      48       89
      20221128           1       0.417122               0                1      59       69
      20221129           1       0.350247               0                1      21       158
      20221130           1       0.309647               0                1      23       138
      20221201           1       0.391171               0                1      77       85
      20221202           1       0.450427               0                1      57       73
      20221205           1       0.54797                0                1      66       55
      20221206           1       0.4494                 0                1      17       145
      20221207           1       0.305229               0                1      13       235
      20221208           1       0.227683               0                1      23       250
      20221209           1       0.210078               0                1      33       168
      20221212           1       0.173084               0                1      15       193
      20221213           1       0.159944               0                1      26       157
      20221214           1       0.150228               0                1      30       165
      20221215           1       0.144221               0                1      30       189
      20221216           1       0.117299               0                1      14       261
      20221219           1       0.106926               0                1      21       280
      20221220           1       0.088743               0                1      17       367
      20221221           1       0.081366               0                1      20       298
      20221222           1       0.092176               0                1      34       198
      20221223           1       0.086809               0                1      19       267
      20221227           1       0.083249               0                1      19       245
      20221228           1       0.072458               0                1      18       383
      20221229           1       0.06746                0                1      17       319
      20221230           1       0.090573               0                1      34       68
      20230103           1       0.118514               0                1      33       64
      20230104           1       0.137105               0                1      16       48
      20230105           1       0.173199               0                1      24       35
      20230106           1       0.208268               0                1      23       62
      20230109           1       0.338845               0                1      53       38
      20230110           1       0.453297               0                1      25       27
      20230111           1       0.771973               0                1      56       20
      20230112           1       1.130728               1                2      42       13
      20230113           1       1.66724                1                2      63       6
      20230117           1       2.521018               1                2      75       6
      20230118           1       2.931123               1                2      44       15
      20230119           1       3.075525               1                2      34       17
      20230120           1       2.680707               1                2      21       25
      20230123           1       2.90379                1                2      48       13
      20230124           1       3.4128                 1                2      61       9
      20230125           1       3.302325               1                2      49       16
      20230126           1       3.206061               1                2      47       15
      20230127           1       3.008152               1                2      60       22

Hi Mark....Is it possible to post the GTR link to retrieve and save the NH-NL data in the format you presented

THX!

Hi Mark....Is it possible to post the GTR link to retrieve and save the NH-NL data in the format you presented

Think this should work, NHNLRatio actually goes back to 1974. Select "signal values", run the screen, then download report.
You should get a CSV file with the signal values.

http://gtr1.net/2013/?h7::NHNLRatio:lt999999:BCIII...

Outstanding!

Mark or some other GTR1 guru - anyway to only pick stocks ie Operating Companies - eliminating ETFs , Funds etc.

I ran the screener its picking those up.

I personally DONT think it should impact the premise - but I was planning to turn it into a % of Total Nasdaq listed Stocks.

Best

Mark or some other GTR1 guru - anyway to only pick stocks ie Operating Companies - eliminating ETFs , Funds etc.

Not quite sure what you are trying to do, and I'm rusty on GTR1 as I haven't been around for a while.
You would not just pick operating companies without some screening steps to select and rank them somehow.
Here's the YLDEARNYEAR_SI screen I had stored, and I threw some timing on it (not the proper complete BCC or the newer BC(continuum)).

You'll note the step styp.a != 14!15!17!23!44!45!73!74!75!76!77.
This one screens out various non-operating companies, ETF's, limited partnerships, SPACs, etc.
In most of my screens I just use styp.a = 11!12, which is probably a little more restrictive.
Unfortunately I don't have handy a list of all the styp.a codes.

https://gtr1.net/2013/?~YLDEARNYEAR_SI:h21::NHNLRa...

Mark... That logic does work for the Screener but not for the Universe/Signal ....

h1::NHNLRatio:gt1:CountOfHighs:imports(0,CountOfHighs,0,0):CountOfLows:imports(1,CountOfLows,0,0):WeightedCountOfHighs:sgwsum(CountOfHighs,0,9,8,7,6,5,4,3,2,1):WeightedCountOfLows:sgwsum(CountOfLows,0,9,8,7,6,5,4,3,2,1):NHNLRatio:ratio(WeightedCountOfHighs,WeightedCountOfLows){dspo:al252:excd.a:0et3:styp.a:0et10!11:ratio(gprc(0),hgprc(1,251))gt1:CountOfHighs:et-1:CountOfHighs:sum(1,1,step4)}{dspo:al252:excd.a:0et3:styp.a:0et10!11:ratio(gprc(0),lgprc(1,251))lt1:CountOfLows:et-1:CountOfLows:sum(1,1,step4)}{U:{!IXIC}}

Its this line that needs to be changed - ie U: {!IXIC} --- this by default picks up ALL Nasdaq listed stocks --
somehow it needs to be an AND condition ie both !IXIC and styp.a != 14!15!17!23!44!45!73!74!75!76!77

something like that - I just am not familiar how to pass that onto GTR1

Hope someone can help.

Essentially then the Daily Highs and Lows on the Daq are being computed on actual Company Stocks and so is the Ratio.

How do we get the # of Highs and # of Lows reported separately?

TIA!

From GTR for Dummies

The steps for counting the number of new Highs are:
step0: dspo >= 252 only stocks listed for at least 1 year (needed to find High for the year)
step1: excd.a = 3 only Nasdaq stocks
step2: styp.a = 10!11 restrict to ordinary stocks (US listed and foreign listed)
step3: ratio(gprc(0), hgprc(1,251)) > 1 discussed below

Note that you need to use g-prices to compensate for splits. Also note that this is an approximation because dividends are included in g-prices, and strictly speaking, a new High is typically based on the closing price (adjusted for splits, but not for dividends), or the intraday High. Stated another way, there is no universal agreement on how a new High (or Low) is calculated, so take care in comparing GTR1 new High/new Low signals to another source 'disagreements are normal. See post 258804 for a good discussion on this subject.

step3 takes last posted g-price(lag = 0) and divides by the highest g-price with a lag of 1, and going back 251 days beyond the last posted day (a year is 252 days). If last g-price is higher than the highest g-price of the 251 days prior to the last posted day (lag=1), then the result of step3 will be >1, implying a new 252-day high has been established.
Finally we need a way to count the stocks passing step3. We get this by using the sum function.

Field Label: Expression is:
CountofHighs: sum(1,1,step4) (step references must be lower case)
This function will count the number of stocks entering step4 (the next step from the prior list of steps). For now, ignore the two '1's'.

As the final step, it can be anything involving the term CountofHighs (if CountofHighs is not referenced in at least one step, an error message occurs). For example, make step4 anything that results in no stocks passing.
step4: CountofHighs = -1
Put these steps into GTR1 and run the backtest. You will get:
http://gtr1.net/2013/?h1::dspo:al252:excd.a:et3:st...

Thanks so much!

I think I followed the logic till Step 3 --- but what's Step 4

step4: CountofHighs = -1

Why is it checking equality to -1?

THX!

I also got it to work for Lows ...... based on the logic

and I noticed if I change Step 4 to >0 rather than -1 - it counts the Total # of stocks in the Daq ( ie operating companies)


Here's the link for lows for anyone interested

http://gtr1.net/2013/?s19750102h1::dspo:al252:excd...

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