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Author: WEBspired   😊 😞
Number: of 15065 
Subject: OT- Chevron acquisition of PDCE
Date: 05/22/2023 3:07 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 1
https://www.chevron.com/newsroom/2023/q2/chevron-a...

'chevron announces agreement to acquire PDC energy
Complementary to Chevron's operations in important U.S. production basins
Adds 10% to oil equivalent proved reserves for under $7 per barrel
Accretive to earnings per share and return on capital employed (ROCE)
Expected to add $1 billion to annual free cash flow

SAN RAMON, Calif. and DENVER, Colo., May 22, 2023 ' Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) announced today that it has entered into a definitive agreement with PDC Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: PDCE) to acquire all of the outstanding shares of PDC in an all-stock transaction valued at $6.3 billion, or $72 per share. Based on Chevron's closing price on May 19, 2023 and under the terms of the agreement, PDC shareholders will receive 0.4638 shares of Chevron for each PDC share. The total enterprise value, including debt, of the transaction is $7.6 billion.

The acquisition of PDC provides Chevron with high-quality assets expected to deliver higher returns in lower carbon intensity basins in the United States. PDC brings strong free cash flow, low breakeven production and development opportunities adjacent to Chevron's position in the Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin, as well as additional acreage to Chevron's leading position in the Permian Basin.

'PDC's attractive and complementary assets strengthen Chevron's position in key U.S. production basins,' said Chevron Chairman and CEO Mike Wirth. 'This transaction is accretive to all important financial measures and enhances Chevron's objective to safely deliver higher returns and lower carbon. We look forward to welcoming PDC's team and shareholders to Chevron and continuing both companies' focus on safe and reliable operations.''

Would love to know their level of interest in OXY!
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Author: BreckHutHigh   😊 😞
Number: of 15065 
Subject: Re: OT- Chevron acquisition of PDCE
Date: 05/24/2023 10:36 AM
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WEBspired wrote:"Would love to know their (Chevron's) level of interest in OXY!"

Given that Chevron lost a bidding war with OXY for Anadarko's assets, one can only assume the answer to this question is a resounding YES. Remember that in addition to Anadarko's Permian Basin assets, OXY also picked up a sizable position in the Denver Julesberg (DJ) Basin where Chevron just announced the planned acquisition of PDCE.

It would seem the combination of OXY and Anadarko assets now seems even more attractive to Chevron.

Bill Smead, who holds OXY shares (8.5% position) through his Value fund, recently posted the following commentary:

"Warren Buffett made clear he's not going to buy Occidental Petroleum (OXY), but we believe it wouldn't break his heart if one of the other contestants bought his huge stake in OXY. He raved about the company, and you can tell how much he likes their CEO, Vicky Hollub. So here is our list of contestants in the oil consolidation dating game and a list of potential acquisition candidates.

https://smeadcap.com/missives/no-dating-game-for-b...

Bottom line, more consolidation coming in the Permian and DJ basins. It will involve some of the bigger fish, including Chevron, Exxon and OXY swallowing smaller fish. Is OXY too big to swallow? Doubt it.

As Smead's table illustrates valuations in this space are still quite reasonable. Would seem easier to envision where these oil companies will be in ten years compared to the latest list of high priced AI darlings.
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Author: WEBspired   😊 😞
Number: of 15065 
Subject: Re: OT- Chevron acquisition of PDCE
Date: 05/24/2023 11:55 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 1
Yes! Agree 💯 with you and Smead's line of thinking. Vicki and mgt. team seem to be outstanding- optimizing productivity, great vision, ESG oriented and paying down that debt and rewarding shareholders, especially Berkshire!

Kingswell had a nice substack piece on this topic as well and touched on the carbon management business and growth potential and 'zero oil' and carbon credits:

https://open.substack.com/pub/kingswell/p/permian-...


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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝🐝 SILVER
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 15065 
Subject: Re: OT- Chevron acquisition of PDCE
Date: 05/24/2023 1:07 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 9
... but we believe it wouldn't break his heart if one of the other contestants bought his huge stake in OXY.

Hmm, I'm not convinced of that.
Would he prefer ownership of an earning asset he is very happy with for the foreseeable future, or another ~$15bn in cash that will need allocation?
I think he would VERY much prefer the first.
Me too...I like the idea of the ~$1.25bn estimate of what Berkshire's OXY shares are likely to earn next year.

It's pretty likely someone buying out OXY would offer him equity in the merged entity rather than cash, maybe even with a sweetener.
Which he might conceivably take, but almost certainly wouldn't prefer.

Jim
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