Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (8) |
Author: RAMc   😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: Machine Learning and Mechanical Investing
Date: 08/13/23 11:13 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 3
Lizodal:
There's quite a bit of interest in Machine Learning over at Portfolio 123. This book sounds interesting:

As a P123 subscriber I've been following the flow but so far, their existing system is limited. The data vendor doesn't allow direct access to the raw data except with a very large premium. You must rely on their factor ranks for machine learning. Some of the posts that make it seem a piece of cake gloss over many of the details.

The only alternate relatively low-cost access to the required data is still Stock Investor Pro. I've slowly been trying to rebuild a historical backtesting data set for Machine Learning. Turns out it isn't as easy as it first seemed. The difficulty is compared to a backtester like GTR1 where each run you end up with a small number of ranked stocks, each of the current members have a known purchase and sales dates. Easy to accounts for slippage, splits and dividends. ML evaluation data sets assume a fixed holding period, most use either 1 month or 1 quarter, an assumed 1 month hold eliminates almost 2/3's of the dividends. I'm ending up ignoring the dividends for ML and then reevaluating the selected portfolio's performance the conventional way with friction, splits and dividends.

My favorite book for ML is 'Hands on Machine Learning with Sciket-Learn, Keras & Tensor Flow' by Aurelien Geron.

Seems like over the last 25 years for MI to remain profitable it keeps getting more and more complex. Complicated by the fact that I seem to have less drive & compulsion to squeeze a few extra percent out of the investments.

RAM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to RAMc here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (8) |


Announcements
Mechanical Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community