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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21944 
Subject: Re: 15 year comparison - BRK vs S&P
Date: 08/05/25 9:05 AM
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He's just trolling.

Nah, it's a reasonable thing to look at, always remembering that no single pair of dates is going to be very informative.

Looking at the longer term, my estimate is that the S&P 500 is about the same valuation level as it was around the start of May 1998, based on smoothed real earnings yield, so the rate of return is presumably equal to the rate of value generation and there is no need to speculate on whether the market is overvalued these days. That return turns out to be spot on 10.0%/year, before inflation. It's 7.25%/year after inflation, a good stretch overall. (could be an overestimate because the recent upswing in net margins may not be entirely sustainable, but let that pass...)

Berkshire's total return is the same as that of SPY since the start of June 1998, almost the same date, so almost exactly the same rate of return.

So, same return for both for this pair of dates, the S&P is neither cheaper nor more expensive, but Berkshire is a fair bit cheaper that it was then. P/B 1.48 now, 2.52 back then 29.26 years ago. The valuation slide is probably a bit more than the -1.8%/year that implies, because book per share was probably a slightly optimistic metric of value in 1998.

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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