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- Manlobbi
Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
No. of Recommendations: 4
...inch.
While there continues to be polls that aren’t great for Biden, there also continues to be encouraging polls. In a recent post I offer some guidance on how to stick with larger sample, high quality polls and be quick to discount partisan polls or those with lower sample size or analysis based on very small demographic subgroups. There’s just a lot of junk out there right now, and polling continues to be very noisy. So here’s the encouraging news in polling this week (all polls can be found on 538):
Nationally - Morning Consult has Biden up 43-42. He was down by 2 points in this poll last week, 41-43, so this is a 3 point gain. 6,367 Registered voters.
PA - A new large sample Quinnipiac poll, 1680 RVs, has Biden up 3, 49-46. He was down 2 in this poll in October, 45-47, so this is 5 point gain. Biden won PA by 1.2 pts in 2020.
NH - Biden is up 8, 42-34, in a new USA Today/Suffolk poll of 1,000 Likely voters. Biden won NH by 7.4 points in 2020.
MI - Biden is up 4, 45-41, in a new MIRS/Northern Michigan Business Alliance polls of 800 registered voters. Biden won MI by 2.8 points in 2020 (this info was added Friday, Jan 12th).
https://www.meidastouch.com/news/biden-leads-three...
No. of Recommendations: 2
Re the polls...
Maybe I'll be wrong, but Trump lost the popular vote TWICE and I think he will lose it again. BUT, the damned electoral college which enables easier gaming of the system could give him a win.
No. of Recommendations: 3
While there continues to be polls that aren’t great for Biden, there also continues to be encouraging polls. In a recent post I offer some guidance on how to stick with larger sample, high quality polls and be quick to discount partisan polls or those with lower sample size or analysis based on very small demographic subgroups. There’s just a lot of junk out there right now, and polling continues to be very noisy. So here’s the encouraging news in polling this week (all polls can be found on 538): = lapsody
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Nice curated list of polls where Biden is showing a lead... We white supremacists have a term for that,.... grasping at straws.
No. of Recommendations: 2
Bear in mind they’ve spent the last four years laying the groundwork for accusing anyone who dares question anything about an election of outright treason. Which means, of course, they have a license to steal.
Biden got 80M votes last time. It’ll take 90M to beat him.
No. of Recommendations: 2
Maybe I'll be wrong, but Trump lost the popular vote TWICE and I think he will lose it again. BUT, the damned electoral college which enables easier gaming of the system could give him a win. - ges
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Better to have a few Blue States with huge populations pick our president. The rest of us should just shut up and be glad we are tolerated by the wise elite.
No. of Recommendations: 1
Better to have a few Blue States with huge populations pick our president. The rest of us should just shut up and be glad we are tolerated by the wise elite.
I think we should ditch the quaint state names while we’re at it and rename than all District 1-whatever. The folks living in the Districts can send 2 young people a year to fight to the death in an annual contest. It’ll be awesome!
No. of Recommendations: 4
Dope: "Bear in mind the <GOP> spent the last four years lying about an election.... outright treason"
They say you can find the truth by distilling the statement, and there it is.
No. of Recommendations: 3
Maybe I'll be wrong, but Trump lost the popular vote TWICE and I think he will lose it again. BUT, the damned electoral college which enables easier gaming of the system could give him a win.
Oh, yes, Trump could win. I have no idea what to do about the electoral college. It's been my experience in life that you can't get someone to give up an advantage, so we're stuck with it.
No. of Recommendations: 2
Bear in mind they’ve spent the last four years laying the groundwork for accusing anyone who dares question anything about an election of outright treason. Which means, of course, they have a license to steal.
Biden got 80M votes last time. It’ll take 90M to beat him.
What a stilted view. So I take it you are in the process of "finding" am additional 20 million votes? All in one state or are you spreading it around? I had no idea you were that talented. We await the results of your work, err..., art.
No. of Recommendations: 2
Biden got 80M votes last time. It’ll take 90M to beat him.
Swilling the orange koolaid, I see.
