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Author: albaby1 🐝 HONORARY
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Number: of 48420 
Subject: Re: Priority #1 Is Fizzling
Date: 02/16/2025 3:46 PM
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Yes it did. Why do you steadfastly refuse to acknowledge this? Emergency procedures wouldn’t be allowed until the threshold of 5,000 encounters a day were hit.

Allowing any number above zero creates an incentive to storm the border in the hopes that you win the lottery that day.


No, it doesn't. Again, the status quo doesn't have any emergency procedures. So there's no "lottery" to win. Today, everyone is immune from emergency procedures - under the proposal, some people might have been hit with emergency procedures. The proposal is more strict than the status quo, and doesn't codify any benefits that asylees don't already have.

BTW if Trump wants more Border Patrol funding it’s a simple addendum to a reconciliation bill.

Except again, the reality is far more complicated - because the reconciliation bills aren't simple. Which is the source of the "one vs. two" debate between the Senate and House GOP. The Senate wants to pass a reconciliation bill with just border and energy money, with a second reconciliation package on budgets and taxes and deficits to follow. Because they know the votes exist on that first reconciliation package.

The House wants to do one bill - because they know that the second bill has a lot of issues that Members disagree on, and might not pass without Democratic votes. So they need the immigration and energy provisions to whip recalcitrant members. If Trump's most important policy priority isn't in the second bill, members might insist that the package address their own districts' priorities rather than fear the wrath of Trump.

Again, bird in the hand. The GOP passed up a chance for a big increase in deportation resources. Now that Trump won the election, he doesn't have the resources necessary for any material increase in deportation flow. So deportations aren't increasing materially. It turns out that the then-current rate of deportation was a result of resource constraints rather than executive recalcitrance, despite what conservatives were claiming. So changing the executive to an immigration hardliner didn't change those deportation flows.

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