Figure single-digit million barrels/day exported as rational/reasonable. MIGHT get to 10+million barrels on a REALLY good day, but that is less than half of normal historical DAILY volumes (~20 million barrels/day). The numbers do NOT include pipeline shipments to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. Historic average with pipelines was ~23-million barrels/day.
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Oil shipments from the Middle East are currently heavily disrupted due to conflict in the region, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil transit route.

Current Situation

The Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20% of the world’s oil passes, has seen significant disruptions as Iran claims “complete control” of the waterway, effectively closing it to maritime traffic. Recent reports indicate that maritime traffic has dropped by 80%, with multiple ships attacked or damaged, including a Thai cargo vessel set ablaze, and threats from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard to target any passing ships have heightened the risk to oil tankers (NBC News, Independent)
NBC News

Impact on Oil Exports

These disruptions have severely limited the flow of Middle Eastern oil to global markets. Countries like China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan, which rely heavily on oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz, are particularly affected. While some alternative pipelines exist in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, most oil volumes have no alternative exit routes, making the Strait a critical chokepoint (Atlantic Council, Independent)
Atlantic Council

International Response

To mitigate the impact on global oil prices, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has agreed to release 400 million barrels of oil from strategic reserves, the largest release in its history. The United States will contribute 172 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, starting next week. These measures aim to stabilize prices amid fears that Middle Eastern oil exports may remain blocked (NBC News, ABC News)
NBC News

Outlook

Qatar and other Gulf energy producers have warned that if the conflict continues, oil exports could be halted entirely, potentially forcing countries to declare force majeure and causing global oil prices to surge toward $150 per barrel. Prolonged disruptions could have widespread economic consequences, affecting not only energy markets but also industries reliant on petrochemicals and fertilizers (Moneycontrol)

In summary, while some oil may still be moving through alternative routes or via limited shipments, the majority of Middle Eastern oil exports are currently disrupted, and the situation remains highly volatile due to ongoing military actions and control of the Strait of Hormuz.