Biden is far from perfect, but he is light-years ahead of Trump in terms of quality and competence. Alas, even though he has accomplished a lot, the public isn't aware of a lot of it (it's "behind the scenes" stuff that people don't really see, but they feel it indirectly). And he's not very energizing.

The primary energizer is Trump. It is ironic that I think Dems will have to rely on his energizing opposition to him for Biden to win. I'm pretty sure that was the dynamic in 2020. Another Rep candidate might have won had Trump not been in the picture, but too many people were horrified at the prospect of another 4 years of the farcical Trump circus. I know I am, and a lot of Republicans are too (like Cheney...she's a strong conservative, and completely against Trump).

I don't think the IVF thing will cost Trump any votes. Vangies have no choice. They can't vote for Satan...errr...Biden. So it's Trump. From what he's said about abortion, I'm sure Mike is not put off by that. And he's -almost assuredly- not alone in that.

So Trump is going to have to scare the independents enough for them to come out in force and vote against him.