No. of Recommendations: 2
Dope: Lopez Obrador has Biden over the barrel.
How could you possibly come up with a read like this?
AL: If he did he would make demands that Biden could actually grant, rather than just pie-in-the-sky stuff like that. Biden doesn't have the power to "grant at least 10 million Hispanics living in the U.S. the right to remain and work legally," or to repeal the Helms-Burton Act, as AMLO knows full well. That's a list of things that you publicly insist on when you're just posturing, not making a serious demand.
Makes good sound bites for Latin America.
Remain in Mexico is not going to be reinstated. That doesn't mean there aren't some things that Mexico can be pushed to do, at the margins. But nothing that will fundamentally or significantly alter conditions at the border, because there's no deal to be made with Congress on the more significant things that AMLO might want (like your list), because Congress can't agree on any of those issues right now.
Congress thinks any negotiation with Mexico right now is toxic. Much easier just to throw mud at Biden - no Republican loses that way. That's my read. So is this thing going to be carried forward and come to a crescendo right before the elections? I think so. If the Republicans could arrange it, the mother of all caravans would start out in the Darien and make its way up through Latin America and be 500,000 strong pushing ac cross the Guatemalan border and just walk across in this huge million unstoppable mass into the USA. All Republicans win in every race. Ahh, such a red dream. :)
