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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: RAMc   😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: new screen based on Nasdaq100
Date: 05/27/25 9:50 AM
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Baltassar:But does anyone know how Nasdaq NHNL works prior to the existence of the Nasdaq exchange?

A very meaningful question for all those putting their trust into NHNL & BCC. Robbie has done amazing work on GTR1 and I’ll admit I’ve used BCC but I wouldn’t put much faith on a synthetic recreation of the historical results of what a NHNL signal based on NASDAQ stocks would look like before 2000. The NASDAQ which didn’t exist before 1971 and initially was just an automated quotation system with no trading. Until 1996 prices were quoted in 1/8th dollar increments.

But only using the BCC from 2000 where there is in my view a little more probability that it’s historical performance might indicate the future predictions will add value.
2000 till present helped with the 2008:
BCC CAGR 9.7, SAWR 6.7, MDD -33.5
SP500 CAGR 7.7, SAWR 4.6, MDD -54
2010 till present didn’t catch covid but no significant long term drawdowns:
BCC CAGR 12.4, SAWR 10.25, MDD -33.5
SP500 CAGR 13.4, SAWR 11.15, MDD -33.5

Probably worth keeping an eye on but wouldn't blindly accept the signal.
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