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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: ges 🐝 HONORARY
SHREWD
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Number: of 84362 
Subject: Harris's chances surge in betting markets
Date: 11/01/24 10:24 AM
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From Interactive Brokers Founder and President:

Last night, Kamala Harris engineered a surprisingly ferocious comeback on IBKR's ForecastTrader platform. Her probability of winning the election rose from 38% the night before to 44% at 8 pm last night, and this was done on a trading volume of about $40 million.

....
If it is not manipulation, then what is it? It must be that today's reporting of news events has changed the probabilities in the minds of the currently over 100,000 participants on this platform.


Are more people finally realizing that Trump is demented and a danger to our country?
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Members reply directly to ges here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
It's going to get worse · 33 recs · 2025
G’day Donny · 30 recs · 2026
Old Related Story · 28 recs · 2026
HCR is a national treasure · 27 recs · 2025
Fascism in America · 27 recs · 2025
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