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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mapg   😊 😞
Number: of 3959 
Subject: Modern Family 24-May-2024
Date: 05/24/2024 5:00 PM
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Signal status for Transportation (IYT) changed to "Bearish" and is confirmed.

Index Name:              SP500       R1000EW       R2000    Transportation    Retail   Regional Bank   BioTech   SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) .SPX
EQAL IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 24-May-24 24-May-24 24-May-24 24-May-24 24-May-24 24-May-24 24-May-24 24-May-24
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish BEARish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
SignalD_Change 09-Nov-23 20-Nov-23 20-Nov-23 23-May-24 24-Nov-23 07-May-24 15-May-24 09-Nov-23
SinceD_Change 197 186 186 1 182 17 9 197
Confirmed Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Not Yet Not Yet Yes
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Support Support Support Resistance Support Support Support Support
ROC(50-DMA) 3.6% 2.5% 1.8% -0.7% 2.5% -1.3% -3.6% 10.4%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 16.3% 3.2% 4.9% 11.7% 7.5% -7.7% -1.1% 45.2%
DMAC(50,200) 8.7% 5.6% 6.3% 5.3% 9.1% 4.2% 2.7% 22.1%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 5304.72 45.31 205.44 63.90 74.93 48.92 135.67 244.26
50-DMA 5172.68 45.00 202.78 67.19 74.54 48.73 132.73 221.81
200-DMA 4757.72 42.63 190.79 63.81 68.34 46.75 129.21 181.70
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 2 3 4 3 3 3 12 2
# BuyD /Yr 233 210 212 222 207 92 146 228
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 19 42 40 30 45 160 106 24
% BuyD /Yr 92% 83% 84% 88% 82% 37% 58% 90%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 4115.24 37.43 162.21 52.80 56.84 38.57 112.41 129.34
52wH(Daily) 5321.41 46.19 210.30 70.61 78.99 53.82 140.89 244.26
% Off_52wH NH 2% 2% 11% 5% 10% 4% NH
LastD_52wH 21-May-24 15-May-24 28-Mar-24 21-Mar-24 28-Mar-24 14-Dec-23 27-Feb-24 24-May-24
SinceD_52wH 3 9 57 64 57 162 87 0
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

Modern Family:        Symbol:    Status:*     Confirmed:  Roles: (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)
S&P 500 Index .SPX Bullish Yes - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW EQAL Bullish Yes - gauge the health of many Large-cap & Mid-cap companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000 IWM Bullish Yes - gauge the health of many Small-cap & some Micro-cap companies within the U.S.
Transportation IYT BEARish Yes - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail XRT Bullish Yes - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Banks KRE Bullish Not Yet - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech IBB Bullish Not Yet - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor SMH Bullish Yes - innovation: a major player technology trends
As of (LastD) --- 24-May-24 24-May-24 ---


The "Economic Modern Family" (@MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (@MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases Rev 20-Apr-2024
- "BEARish" phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
- "Bullish" phase when NOT "BEARish"
- "Support" is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
- "Resistance" is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
- "Confirmed" when MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is Day# (ascending)
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is Day# (ascending)
Criteria that Refute- Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description- After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
GD_

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