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Author: weatherman   😊 😞
Number: of 48463 
Subject: low riders drive slower
Date: 06/06/2024 3:55 PM
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polling guru nate silver has pretty much given up turning his analysis into election predictions, but had some insight into the 'low information' voter.
('low info' being voters that really do not follow much media but reliably vote, unlike 'no info' voters that falsely claim not to follow media when adverse news appears in low bias sources)

nate claims this low info group is likely to be swayed by whatever final media casually passes them (not literally, but proximally) on the way to vote. e.g., this may be a conservative voter whose final impression is that 'trump is a convict', and then atypically, decides not to vote.

its all plausible, but nate admits he has no idea how many low info voters exist, how many would encounter and retain recent media, and how many it would impact. regardless, expect a lot of ad money to be spent in the final 2 weeks in case this has punch.
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Author: weatherman   😊 😞
Number: of 48463 
Subject: Re: low riders drive slower
Date: 06/07/2024 8:16 PM
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is mainstream media net detrimental in its current approach to politics and policy?

yes, my impression is that the entirety of mainstream media's over-coverage of trump and MAGA is to a large extent net detrimental.
sure, they have to worry about ratings when missing out on the latest lunacy, but this offer to conservatives to 'present their side' in the name of balance seems like nonsense.
there is absolutely nothing to be gained by the repetition of stances and phrases stamped by trump as acceptable.

twitter\x is hopeless since musk, am not sure about facebook since never being a member. the past history of responses to disinformation by zuck were wholly inadequate (too little, too late).
on a related note, complex explanations of recent civil\social events seems ineffective, despite one's instinct to avoid over-simplicity. in the end, the center and left cable\broadcast media outlets should just stop wasting time on allowing the GOP to spread propaganda. it just may catch low information voters.


(refs from Science & Nature, not a publisher for the STEM-incapable)
https://news.ucr.edu/articles/2024/06/05/banning-m...
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07524-8
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adn2555
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