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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: albaby1 SILVER
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Number: of 84361 
Subject: Re: For those who insist the Dem party
Date: 11/10/23 1:33 PM
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I take it you aren't a fan of polls? IF the Dems can take trump out, who do you think Biden Harris can beat ? Haley ? DeSantis ? Stay tuned, Biden is going to do the right thing!!

It's not a question of whether I think Biden/Harris is likely to beat the GOP candidate. It's whether the alternative is better.

Again, you don't just get to push a magic button and replace Biden with Wes Moore (or someone else). If Biden were to retire, that doesn't make Moore the nominee.

Instead, you just get last-minute chaos in the Democratic primary. If Moore were to enter the race, he would be among a busload of other Democratic candidates: Harris, Klobuchar, Buttigieg, Newsome, Booker, Warren, probably Kennedy (again), possibly Whitmer or Garcia, and a host of others. None of which have done anything to prepare for a 2024 primary (except Harris' role as the current running mate). No staff, no fundraising, no airtime reserved in Iowa or New Hampshire or South Carolina, no paperwork filled out, no policy positions or white papers, no debates, no surrogates or endorsements. A dozen or more people, starting from zero with only two months before the first primaries.

Whoever emerges from that process will be weak, unprepared, underfunded, understaffed, under-vetted, all-but-unknown to most of the country, and not have anywhere near enough time to put all of that together. It takes years of preparation to mount a run for President. You can't do it at the last minute.

It's too late, hclasvegas. If Biden had announced he wasn't running back in January, then it's entirely possible that a stronger nominee might have emerged from the primary process. But since it's already freakin' November, it's too late to throw the race open and sort through a dozen or more contenders in a few months.

Biden knows it. The political class knows it. That's why no one is running. It's too late for anyone to step into Biden's place, because the process of replacing him can't be done fast enough to produce a viable candidate.

Albaby
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This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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