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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", mungofitch asked the members: "As for why the purchases stopped (for a while), perhaps the recent acquisition was seen to be somewhat counter to the capital allocation plans that Mr Buffett thought had been promised?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
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Author: lizgdal ✶☼  😊 😞
Number: of 4622 
Subject: Re: OpenAI?s revenue surprise
Date: 10/12/26 7:05 PM
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A Bain analysis says AI revenue of $6T by 2031 is needed to justify current spending. This looks unlikely, but possible a few years later. A 35% CAGR pushes AI spending to about $2T in 2031 and $6T in 2035. A $6T AI market is about 3% of $190T which World GDP can reach in 2035 by growing 5% a year.

=== links ===

"As Bloomberg reports, an analysis on data centers by Bain and Co, one of the largest management consulting firms in the world, found that the global AI industry would have to reach annual revenue of $6 trillion by 2031 to justify the amount of capital being injected into data centers."
futurism.com - Data centers trillion capital time bomb bain

"Artificial intelligence is moving from a fast-growing technology market into a much larger commercial ecosystem. According to Analytics Insight’s market analysis, the global AI market is projected to grow from $318 billion in 2025 and $430 billion in 2026 to $6.5 trillion by 2035. This represents a projected compound annual growth rate of 35% between 2026 and 2035."
analyticsinsight.net - AI market statistics revenue adoption trends emerging opportunities

World GDP median 10-year CAGR was 7.2% from 1961 to 2025.
St. Louis Fed (FRED): Gross Domestic Product for World | FRED
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