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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: YLDEARNYEAR thoughts
Date: 08/20/23 5:15 PM
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I believe analyzing the performance of dividend ETFs offers valuable insights into what is currently in vogue.

That makes sense.
Especially if you look at the relative performance of a dividend ETF versus an equal weight ETF: it tells you whether the coupon folks are ahead or lagging.
(even better would be an equal-weight no-dividend ETF as the baseline, but I'm pretty sure there aren't any)

Though offhand I can't find a suitable ETF that's all dividends and not concentrated (not cap weight), but I'm sure there is one.

The weighting is not just a quibble.
Compare these two graphs
First one is ratio of VIG (a slightly concentrated dividend ETF) to RSP (equal weight S&P 500, no concentration).
stockcharts.com: SharpCharts | StockCharts.com

Second one is ratio of VIG to SPY (cap weight the same 500 stocks).
stockcharts.com: SharpCharts | StockCharts.com

The two graphs aren't even remotely the same shape.

Jim
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This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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