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I'm sure you know several books will be coming out during the next 60 days. Let's see how long it takes for you to concede that if the Dems had time for a competitive nomination process there is little chance Harris would have, earned it, over the 5 top choices for her VP. In fact, IF Harris picked Shapiro as her VP, does she win PA? Thanks.

“ One friend of Biden and former President Obama called the choice for Biden to seek reelection the “original sin” of the 2024 election, putting the blame on the president’s family and close aides for not advising him to forgo a reelection bid.
Even with Biden’s allies steadfast, plans started to come together behind the scenes in 2023 to prepare for the event that another candidate needed to take over from Biden should he not seek reelection or die.
An aide to former Vice President Kamala Harris carried a spreadsheet of Republican federal judges Trump hadn’t appointed, so if Harris needed to be sworn in on short notice, it could be from someone seen as more credible to Republicans.”



https://thehill.com/homenews/5223484-biden-age-con...

If Harris picked Shapiro as her VP, does she win PA?

I have no idea - I'm not in the weeds in PA politics. Having a popular local politician typically helps - but she lost PA by 1.7 points, which is a big lift for the bottom of the ticket to help.

As for the rest of your post, I really don't understand what that lengthy quote has to with how Harris might perform in a hypothetical scenario where Biden has chosen not to run for re-election.

" As for the rest of your post, I really don't understand what that lengthy quote has to with how Harris might perform in a hypothetical scenario where Biden has chosen not to run for re-election."

Well, first you supported Joe until the day he retired, now you aren't sure if Carville is correct saying, you can't play your seventh string qback and expect to win the big game. The Dems had to do everything wrong for trump to win, you greatly overestimate the Teflon Dons skillset, imo. Park time, have a grand day.

Well, first you supported Joe until the day he retired, now you aren't sure if Carville is correct saying, you can't play your seventh string qback and expect to win the big game.

Well, neither of those statements is true - but also, neither of them have anything to do with whether Harris would be favored to win the nomination. My comments about Biden were that the Democrats didn't have the ability to force him not to run, and that even if they did it would be unlikely to yield a better result in the Presidential election. That was true, up until the disastrous debate performance - which changed those calculations. Even then, switching to another candidate didn't help them much; as expected, it ended up being Harris, and as expected she didn't have a successful enough campaign to win.

As for Carville's quote, in 2023 Harris wouldn't be the "seventh string quarterback" in a primary. She was the incumbent vice president (who nearly always win primary contests), well positioned demographically to appeal to the Democratic electorate, has massive fundraising resources compared to most of the rest of the field, and advantaged by the calendar front-loading South Carolina and California. She's the star quarterback in that race.

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