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"Another reason for the inferiority of expert judgment is that humans are incorrigibly inconsistent
in making summary judgements of complex information. When asked to evaluate the same information twice,
they frequently give different answers. The extent of the inconsistency if often a matter of real concern.
Experienced radiologists who evaluate chest X-rays as "normal" or "abnormal" contradict themselves 20% of
the time when they see the same picture on separate occasions. A study of 101 independent auditors who were
asked to evaluate the reliability of internal corporate audits revealed a similar degree of inconsistency.
A review of 41 separate studies of auditors, pathologists, psychologists, organizational managers, and other
professionals suggests that this level of inconsistency is typical, even when a case is reevaluated within
a few minutes."
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