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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: rrr12345   😊 😞
Number: of 21944 
Subject: Re: OT Cash balances keep soaring
Date: 11/19/24 4:33 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 6
"I expect a negative total return for equities in the next 3-5 years."

I do, too. 10-12 years as well. Many indicators are saying that: forward returns vs P/E, P/S, CAPE, market cap/GDP, non-farm market cap/gross value added (Hussman), non-farm equity/debt (St. Louis Fed (FRED): ((Nonfinancial Corporate Business; Corporate Equities; Liability, Level+Domestic Financial Sectors; Corporate Equities; Liability, Level)/1000)/(((Nonfinancial), GMO's proprietary model, etc. All of these are forecasting zero to negative stock market returns. Some high flying stocks are already starting to turn over. ASML, for example, is down 39% over the last 4 months.

What do you recommend to protect ourselves? Hussman is buying puts. GMO is selling short. Dealraker is selling equities where capital gains taxes are minimal. Buffett is selling overvalued stocks.

I believe that T-Bills will outperform the stock market over the next 5-10 years, even if T-Bill yields fall. What is an investor with a short investment life ahead to do?

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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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