No. of Recommendations: 4
Einstein was fond of doing “thought experiments”, getting outside conventional wisdom, thinking up situations and contemplating them as he walked around, and eventually he came up with things like Relativity and Space/Time, and so on. Then he he worked backwards into turning them into equations and proofs and the like.
I am much like Einstein myself, except for the hair, Nobel prizes, international aclaim, and smarts, but I do like to do thought experiments, so here is one. If you think it’s “too soon” after the events of tonight, that’s OK, just skip on past.
Suppose (god forbid) the assassination attempt tonight had been successful. What would the Republicans do? Recall there’s no Vice President yet named, so there is no obvious heir apparent. Would the Republican Party throw up its hands and say “Oh, there’s no time to build campaign offices! We can’t possibly be ready for an election in November, we must cancel our convention and give up?”
I ask because I’m told that Democrats couldn’t possibly jettison Biden at this late date (?) and still run any sort of coherent campaign. I have said I think that’s wrong and that conventions have been historically used to select the candidate, occasionally a dark horse, with only months to spare.
I suspect the Republican Convention, starting in less than 48 hours would be an insane affair, but at the end the delegates would select a candidate and he/she would run a pretty good campaign, and given the weakness of Biden, still have a good chance to win.
Thought experiment. Is it too late to do anything? Or it is never too late until it actually IS too late?
No. of Recommendations: 1
Just my opinion, but there would be a contentious convention, a candidate would emerge, that candidate would get the support of the base regardless, but...the swing voters wouldn't have a lot of time to figure that candidate out. If Biden were stronger, they would get slaughtered. Given that Biden is regarded as a weak candidate for the moment, the Reps would still be at a disadvantage, but I wouldn't think it was a guaranteed loss.
