...inch.

While there continues to be polls that aren’t great for Biden, there also continues to be encouraging polls. In a recent post I offer some guidance on how to stick with larger sample, high quality polls and be quick to discount partisan polls or those with lower sample size or analysis based on very small demographic subgroups. There’s just a lot of junk out there right now, and polling continues to be very noisy. So here’s the encouraging news in polling this week (all polls can be found on 538):

Nationally - Morning Consult has Biden up 43-42. He was down by 2 points in this poll last week, 41-43, so this is a 3 point gain. 6,367 Registered voters.

PA - A new large sample Quinnipiac poll, 1680 RVs, has Biden up 3, 49-46. He was down 2 in this poll in October, 45-47, so this is 5 point gain. Biden won PA by 1.2 pts in 2020.

NH - Biden is up 8, 42-34, in a new USA Today/Suffolk poll of 1,000 Likely voters. Biden won NH by 7.4 points in 2020.

MI - Biden is up 4, 45-41, in a new MIRS/Northern Michigan Business Alliance polls of 800 registered voters. Biden won MI by 2.8 points in 2020 (this info was added Friday, Jan 12th).

meidastouch.com - Biden leads three crucial polls