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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: Knighted   😊 😞
Number: of 21943 
Subject: Re: OT Fed/Macro/Rates
Date: 06/28/24 5:56 PM
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Why invest or take any risks at all if the cash in your mattress is going to be worth more a year from now anyway? And this is as true of companies as it is of individuals. With no risk taking or capital expenditures, things get pretty slow.

Isn't this true today though? We have relatively risk-free options today such as savings accounts. Returns from those risk-free options are positive, yet massive money still flows into riskier assets like stocks in the hunt for higher returns.

Wouldn't the same return-seeking behavior be in play in the hypothetical economy under discussion, one where productivity-driven deflation was allowed by the Fed during normal economic times? A person could stuff money under a mattress for a 2%/yr return via purchasing power increase, but when other similarly risk-free options like savings accounts are available with higher real returns, why would they? Especially with the risk of house fires and theft :)

Plus, if significant mattress stuffing or the like did occur, wouldn't a reduction in money available to loan lead to higher market-driven interest rates, luring people to pull more money out of mattresses? (an equilibrium effect?)

What am I missing?
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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