No. of Recommendations: 2
So it looks like the difference in turnout will end up being about 4 million votes - not 20. A very modest drop from 2020, not something that "doesn't seem right."
Interesting that turnout was higher in the middle of the pandemic. Survival is a strong motivation. On election day 2020, the U.S. Covid death rate was increasing to record highs.
U.S. daily deaths from Covid were about:
7,000 on election day November 3, 2020
15,000 peak was 12 weeks later (last week of January 2021)
less than 100 on election day 2024
Harris got almost 7 million fewer votes than Biden, while Trump was up over 2 million.
Elections are often a referendum on the incumbent. Trump lost in 2020 because of his failure to stop Covid.
