Investment Strategies / Non-US Stocks
No. of Recommendations: 0
Down roughly 45% from the high, and back to levels from November 2021. Of course trying to see if there is any value is problematic at best, but as a speculative idea these pull backs have been opportunities in the past...
tecmo
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No. of Recommendations: 5
I'm not a bitcoin kind of guy, but if you did want to place a wager, one way to hedge it might be to buy put options on Strategy.
Given the rather byzantine financial engineering, it won't take very much more of a bitcoin dip for the equity to be a zero. The options are pricey, but you might get a huge payoff on a modest coin rout.
Historically BTC has risen in price a lot if you wait for an 80% drawdown from all time high. Just a spectator sport for me.
Jim
No. of Recommendations: 5
if you did want to place a wager, one way to hedge it might be to buy put options on Strategy....
Just a spectator sport for me.
But a fun one. My only put options are on MSTR, even if they're getting a bit old in the tooth to work out by January. Give us another month like the last one, though, and the whole edifice might come tumbling down.
Gold and bitcoin were supposed to be the things that would hold up in a time of crisis, but they don't seem to be going the right way, and since bitcoin is just a confidence game anyway, you would think that the confidence has to start being pretty rattled at this point.
No. of Recommendations: 13
Historically BTC has risen in price a lot if you wait for an 80% drawdown from all time high. Just a spectator sport for me.
That should have been -70%. Gets you some more buy signals in March 2020 and much of late 2022.
As for sell signals, you're on your own. The logical answer would be "any time is a good time to sell all your bitcoin".
Jim
No. of Recommendations: 1
Historically BTC has risen in price a lot if you wait for an 80% drawdown from all time high. Just a spectator sport for me.
Its only down 50% now ($120K to $60K), a full 80% drawdown would suggest a $24K entry price). I wonder if that bar (80%) is still relevant given that the market adoption of the "asset" is much more broad than during past drawdowns... and the drawdowns seem to be getting less extreme.
Drawdown : $20K -> $4K : (80%)
Drawdown : $60K -> $30K : (50%)
Drawdown : $65K -> $16K : (75%)
Drawdown : $100K -> $83K : (17%)
Drawdown : $120k -> $60K : (50%)
tecmo
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No. of Recommendations: 0
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/09/bitcoins-brutal-se...Bitcoin is back above the $60,000 mark after falling below that key level for the first time since October 2024 on Friday.
The world’s largest cryptocurrency has lost about 27% of its value in 2026, and it’s now about 50% off its all-time high. Despite the carnage, traders aren’t backing away from this space. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) was among the top 20 most popular tickers in the options market by volume, and two of the top 15 largest options trades by dollar amount were in Strategy and Coinbase on Monday.tecmo
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No. of Recommendations: 0
Bitcoin is often referred to as digital gold. Gold hit a peak in January of 1980. It took 44 years to return to that peak price (adjusting for inflation). Bitcoin it his peak less than a year ago. Might take 44 years to return. Might take less time than that. Might be never. I have no interest at all in finding out.
No. of Recommendations: 5
In 1980 both Gold and DJIA were around $850 or a ratio of 1.
Today DJIA is 52000 and gold is $4200 and the ratio is 12.3.
Of course past returns are not predictions for the future.
No. of Recommendations: 3
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/...The company said it may sell up to $1.25 billion of Bitcoin to bolster its cash reserve and established two repurchase programs of up to $1 billion each for common and preferred shares. Strategy also said it would become more disciplined about issuing common equity, particularly when its shares trade at or near the value of its Bitcoin holdings. The common shares rose around 5% in pre-market trading.Down 52% from the high... ($122,000 USD --> $58,000 USD)
tecmo
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