Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (93) |
Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 84359 
Subject: Re: Unite Group (UTG), UK, falling knife.
Date: 02/24/26 4:16 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 5
Closed at 503p. What a strange day...

My screen says close was 495.40 : )
Lowest close since 2015-02-02, just over 11 years ago.

I guess you have to step way back to get a sense of scale of the situation.

One could possibly sum it up: maybe the UK education market was a little overbuilt and bubbly, and maybe it became a little too dependent on the slightly fickle pipeline of foreign students. Some retrenchment seems in the cards. It might be a bit harder to fill all those seats, and beds, than it was. The entire broad UK "education industry" might have a dip or a long flat spot.

But it's not going away, and retrenchment will be concentrated in the 3rd-tier and 2nd-tier institutions. And any service providers that are over-leveraged. It doesn't seem as if Unite falls much in either of those two categories, and a long flat spot, maybe a dividend cut for a while, is not the same as a wipeout. Especially if that counts as the near-worst-case.

For the greed case, which is always much more fun though less important, if they ever eventually returned to prior highs (just pre pandemic), what's the CAGR from today based on the number of years that takes? Even if it takes 13 years, it's still 8.0%/year compounded price return, PLUS the dividends : )

Jim
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to mungofitch here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 562 posts about Non-US Stocks. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Greggs PLC (GRG.L) · 20 recs · 2025
Topicus: Not Constellation · 16 recs · 2026
Unite Group (UTG), UK, falling knife. · 13 recs · 2025
SKAN · 11 recs · 2025
MELI - Brazilian darling · 10 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (93) |


Announcements
US Policy FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of Politics | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community