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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: rayvt 🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 21944 
Subject: Re: o/t, I have been touting ADX and CET
Date: 12/24/25 11:00 AM
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o/t, I have been touting ADX and CET...
for over ten years. Great holds for Americans in your IRA, and a great hold for rubes and suckers in a taxable account,


Sadly, not true. At all. You should have been touting FCNTX.

1993-01-29 - 2025-12-23      $10,000 initial.  All dividends reinvested.
Symb End value CAGR MaxDD volatility
CET $280,053 10.66% -57% 18%
ADX $90,583 6.93% -72% 78%
GAM $136,203 8.26% -67% 19%
FCNTX $770,901 14.12% -49% 18%
SPY $283,937 10.71% -55% 19%
 
testfol.io: Portfolio Backtester for ETFs and Asset Allocation
click "Logarithmic scale" on the chart

CET matches SPY, and both beat ADX & GAM.

FCNTX beats them all.

Last 10 years, CET, ADX, and FCNTX are almost the same in Total Return. testfol.io: Portfolio Backtester for ETFs and Asset Allocation

Same period, CET, ADX, & GAM, take dividends, not reinvest. CET handily beats ADX & GAM.
Ditto for the entire period since 1/29/1993. In fact, ADX is by far the worst.

Adjust for CPI inflation, 5% annual withdrawal monthly is sad ^h^h^h Terrible.
testfol.io: Portfolio Backtester for ETFs and Asset Allocation

4% is better, ADX is the only one that crashes. The other two just barely survive.
CET matches SPY, and both beat ADX & GAM.

2024 distribution yield of 10.9%.
Too bad about losing all your money long term. ;-(

Takeaways:
* Investing for current income is very expensive.
* You need to backtest the claims for investments.
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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