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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: Lapsody   😊 😞
Number: of 84357 
Subject: Re: Why the border bill will fail
Date: 02/06/24 5:31 PM
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Because if you do, then you should note that this bill allows 150,000 illegals in a month. Which puts it a little under the average of two of the worst months we've ever had.

This is incorrect. The 5,000 is a rolling average over two weeks, so at the end of two weeks, there is a shut down that allows 1400 asylees only at ports of entry. So if we say there are 5,000 X 14 days = 70,000. Threshold met. Now of those 70,000 encounters, ~33% don't pass the interview, IIRC, so 46,900. Then 1400 a day for 16 days, 1400 X16 = 22,400. 46,900 + 22,400 = 69,300.

So from that month 69,300 go forward. Now let's say the new narrower criteria reduces those allowed after court to 20%, from 40%.

That would mean 69,300 X .20 = 13,860 allowed.

Then there's the 8,650 one day trigger.

And all GOP can run on changing the cap to 365 days a year.

You can have a MAGA festival at the shut down border! Kid Rock! Ted Nugent! John Voight! Kanye West!


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This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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