Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (20) |
Author: rayvt 🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: A different way to measure momentum
Date: 07/10/26 9:11 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 9
Oh, this 83 page paper is talking about long-short momentum strategy.

Key point: "[This strategy] tends to crash when the market rebounds after a severe market downturn. In these situations, the market risk exposure of the long-short momentum strategy is strongly negative, implying low returns in form of crashes when the market rises."

If the strategy crashes when the market goes up sharply, then it is the short leg that loses money, big time. Right?

Ah, they say it explicitly later on:
"Following market downturns, the short leg contains the most severe recent loser stocks. When the market rebounds, the loser stocks sharply increase in value."

Yeah, if you are short a stock that is zooming upward, you are going to get your head handed to you.
I think Jim has mentioned that coming off the bottom it is the stocks that lost the most which now gain the most.

Easy way to avoid that is to do just the long part and don't do any shorting.

Done and done.

----------------
If you use BRAVE browser on the MSN (Marketwatch) link you get the whole article complete with graph. marketwatch.com - Stocks for momentum traders to consider buying and to avoid or sell short

He says the momentum is price 1 year ago vs. the 52 week high. The standard measurement we use is price 1 year ago vs. current price.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to rayvt here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (20) |


Announcements
Mechanical Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community