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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy❤
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Author: ptheland ✭  😊 😞
Number: of 48489 
Subject: Latest Reuters/Ipsos poll
Date: 07/24/2024 7:22 PM
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The headline is: Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential race

With a 4% margin of error, that's clearly within the margin of error. But dig down a bit and you find this:

When voters in the survey were shown a hypothetical ballot that included independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Harris led Trump 42% to 38%, an advantage outside the margin of error. Kennedy, favored by 8% of voters in the poll, has yet to qualify for the ballot in many states ahead of the Nov. 5 election.

One poll doesn't not make an election, especially with more than three months to go. But it does seem to indicate that Harris is riding high at the moment. The question is can this energy be sustained through Nov 5. We'll likely get more reliable polling once the Democratic convention is finished. If nothing else, Harris seems to have successfully pulled the fickle media spotlight away from Trump in the immediate post-convention and post-assassination attempt time period.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-leads-trum...

--Peter
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