Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (14) |
Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 21944 
Subject: Re: UTG - wow, the buybacks are getting interesting!
Date: 03/10/26 6:07 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 3
REITs generally get their assets externally appraised, using a) recent sales of similar properties b) fair estimate of income being made c) any other relevant market factors.
The appraisals are pretty regular.


To brutalize a metaphor: As usual in the real estate field, it's not a matter of where the puck is now, but where the puck is going.

It's not so much that one has any cause to doubt the current appraisals (though that certainly happens), but that one often has cause to doubt that current appraisals have any relevance for what's about to happen. Especially as "current" appraisals are always a bit backward looking, based as they are on recently completed transactions even when done honourably and skilfully. Think of them as "if by chance you had been fortunate to have contracted to sell this a few months ago, you probably would have realized XXX", but not much more than that.

The UK RE price trend is not good these days in a broad sense, so perhaps a "prudent man of business" should not assume that asset values a year or two from now, which is what you're really interested in, will be the same or higher than the current appraisals. There are very serious cracks showing here and there, for the moment in obscure or irrelevant corners. But one should probably conservatively assume that the cracks are spreading. Assume there are more cockroaches, or that the liquidity situation might suddenly deteriorate a lot.

None of that affects long term valuations past the current cycle, but it can be tough to wait out a down cycle. Some firms have probably not sufficiently battened the hatches.

Jim
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to mungofitch here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 562 posts about Non-US Stocks. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Greggs PLC (GRG.L) · 20 recs · 2025
Topicus: Not Constellation · 16 recs · 2026
Unite Group (UTG), UK, falling knife. · 13 recs · 2025
SKAN · 11 recs · 2025
MELI - Brazilian darling · 10 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (14) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community