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Investment Strategies / Index Investing
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Author: rnam ✧  😊 😞
Number: of 209 
Subject: Analyzing S&P500 as a single company
Date: 01/11/2025 8:58 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 10
The question investors should ask themselves is: if the S&P 500 was a single company, would I find it an attractive place to deploy capital? If so, how much of my capital?

Does a “company” that earns a 14% return on equity, pays out most of its earnings, could reasonably grow in the mid-single-digits, and is priced at 22x forward earnings offer a compelling or risky investment? I’d guess the answer is somewhere in between. To me, it’s not an obviously good investment, contains more risk and downside asymmetry than most times in recent memory, but also is unlikely, though not impossible, to be a train wreck over the next decade.

https://eaglepointcapital.substack.com/p/what-are-...
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Author: knighttof3   😊 😞
Number: of 209 
Subject: Re: Analyzing S&P500 as a single company
Date: 01/17/2025 10:26 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 1
TINA.

Name something that will confidently beat the S&P 500 in the next 7 years.
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Author: tecmo ⎊  😊 😞
Number: of 209 
Subject: Re: Analyzing S&P500 as a single company
Date: 01/17/2025 11:06 AM
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Name something that will confidently beat the S&P 500 in the next 7 years.


If the only option is to buy now and hold for exactly 7 years, the SPY is probably the best option. But there are other options that I think will be more profitable.

1. Hold CASH until the market becomes more attractive
2. Buy SPY at that point

You could probably even swap [2] with a wide range of opportunities. To add more clarity; I think there will be entry points more attractive than current levels that will present themselves in the future. (Reminder: Holding CASH will generate 4% returns)

For posterity: SPY : $597


tecmo
...
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Author: hardwaterruss ✧  😊 😞
Number: of 209 
Subject: Re: Analyzing S&P500 as a single company
Date: 01/27/2025 12:26 PM
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"Name something that will confidently beat the S&P 500 in the next 7 years."


------------------------------------------------------------------------------

You need look no further than simple QQQ

See Bigcharts Graph of previous 7 years 2018-2024. SPY:120% QQQ:225% Approximately.
That being said, who knows what effect the next 4 years may bring with tariffs, politics etc.......

https://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/...

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Author: sykesix ✸🐝🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 209 
Subject: Re: Analyzing S&P500 as a single company
Date: 01/27/2025 1:13 PM
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You need look no further than simple QQQ

Over time, the Nasdaq has beaten the S&P fairly handily, but with a lot more volatility. About 40% of QQQ is concentrated in eight companies, so that's a big sector bet.
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