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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21941 
Subject: Re: OT-Early Retirement (Barron’s)
Date: 02/19/24 10:42 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 23
I expect most of these nouveau early retirees couldn't take a 50% drawdown with a 5-year recovery.

Indeed.
I figure the secret is owning stuff that's resilient.

Not resilient in price: any stock portfolio will drop by half from time to time. It doesn't matter what's in it, that will happen.
But some stuff will come all the way back, and some won't. If the value doesn't go away, and it's not temporarily overpriced, it's just something to wait out.

Berkshire's drawdown in the credit crunch was pretty epic, with a five year stretch without fresh highs, but that's mainly because of the price spike just before the crash.
The average price in 2008 of $119,656 (the then highest average calendar year price) was exceeded by the start of March 2010.
Despite being very cheap, the average price in 2010 was $117,757, about the same as the pre-crunch highest year.

Separately, value growth continued apace, so the value and price also went right back to the old trend. The price was not resilient in the crunch, but the investment was.

Jim


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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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