Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BYDDYBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of BYDDYBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / BYD (BYDDY)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (43) |
Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 113 
Subject: Re: Byd, has traded well this month,
Date: 02/02/23 10:50 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 6

I won't invest in Chinese companies or VIEs.
...
So you soured on your interest in BABA?


Not exactly--I always had a very strong opinion that it didn't ever meet Rule #1, so it was never suitable for a large position size.
Just to begin with, BABA paper doesn't represent shares in the well known Alibaba business in China.
The bullish notes were limited to the notion that I thought there was a pretty good chance that the price would be much higher in a couple of years.
Even the prices things with dubious firm value can go up a lot.

So I bought some calls as a gamble: heads I'd win quite a bit, tails I wouldn't lose much.
Not very long term, as I didn't want to commit much cash, and it bought time to let the clouds clear to make a better decision.
I rolled them once (no new cash into the position).
But the probabilities of upside versus downside outcomes seem increasingly unlikely to me, so the maximum position size has continued to shrink.
So I still don't want to put new cash into the position, so I'm letting them expire.
Barring a last minute big pop, the cost of the calls will have been a dead loss.
But trivial as a percentage of my portfolio, and the outcome is not wholly unexpected.

I did a couple of rounds of BABA trades in the past that were profitable, so I'm up overall on the ticker. Just not as much as I was : )

Jim
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to mungofitch here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 109 posts about BYD. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BYD financial statements review · 20 recs · 2024
Thinking Too Simply · 7 recs · 2024
Anti China Sentiment · 4 recs · 2024
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (43) |


Announcements
BYD FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BYDDY | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community